Rockstar Games has kept things surprisingly quiet since the release of the second GTA VI trailer, but that hasn’t stopped the internet from trying to predict what comes next. Now, one Reddit user believes they’ve cracked the code on when the third trailer might drop — and honestly, it’s not the wildest theory we’ve heard.
A Pattern in Rockstar’s Past?
Over on the r/GTA6 subreddit, a user going by the name EinfachBlueG has been digging into Rockstar’s historical trailer patterns. By calculating the average number of days between the third trailer and the official game release across GTA IV, GTA V, and both Red Dead Redemption titles, they landed on a pretty specific number — 129 days.
According to their logic, this puts GTA VI Trailer 3 in mid-January 2026, specifically around January 17th. Their post even acknowledges that this is just speculation, but points out that Rockstar has often followed a fairly consistent schedule in the past.
“Of course this is pure speculation and it will probably be a lot different,” they wrote. “But the chances are high that we won’t get a third trailer until around December to January when comparing it to the other titles.”
Not a bad guess… but not everyone’s convinced.
The Community Isn’t Buying It
While the theory sparked some discussion, many commenters were quick to poke holes in the logic.
“They’ve already shown they’re not following any previous patterns, these posts are meaningless,” said asianmandan, one of the top comments on the thread.
Another user, ScottRans0m, added a more measured take:
“How they’ve gone about things has been pretty unpredictable so far, so it’s hard to say, but I think Trailer 3 could land any time between November and January next year.”
Others speculated that Rockstar could delay any major updates until February or even March 2026, depending on how development progresses. That’s especially worth considering given that delays have been part of the company’s rollout in the past — and let’s be real, they aren’t the most predictable studio in the world.
Could the Theory Accidentally Be Right?
Honestly, even if this prediction doesn’t stem from some secret insider knowledge or airtight logic, it still kind of makes sense. If Rockstar wants to line up pre-orders or push a final wave of hype before launch, a third trailer 3–4 months out from release feels like a smart move. Even if the timeline isn’t exactly 129 days, the ballpark estimate isn’t ridiculous.
Rockstar did something similar with GTA V, where marketing efforts hit a major high note months before the game’s release, and pre-orders surged as a result.
So while the subreddit may be full of skeptics — and rightly so — this theory still holds a certain accidental credibility. Until Rockstar drops more info, it’s the closest thing we’ve got to a reasonable timeline.
When Is GTA VI Releasing?
As of now, GTA VI is officially scheduled to release in 2026 for PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S. No PC release has been confirmed yet — typical Rockstar move — but it’s safe to assume it’ll follow sometime after.
So if the 129-day theory holds water, that mid-January trailer window starts to look kind of… plausible?
Final Thoughts
At the end of the day, we’re all just guessing. Rockstar isn’t exactly known for giving fans a heads-up — they move when they feel like it. But hey, it’s still fun to speculate.
Will Trailer 3 really drop in January? Maybe. Maybe not. But one thing’s for sure — whenever it lands, the internet will explode all over again.
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